Showing posts with label Gary Bettman. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gary Bettman. Show all posts

12 February 2022

Howl long has this been going on.

Jerry Colangelo was surprised by the phone call.

Several years prior, the face of the Phoenix Suns' front office had reached out to the National Hockey League. He was building a new arena for the Suns, and having two tenants in it with more than 40 guaranteed dates would certainly be better than one, so how would the NHL feel about putting a franchise in the Valley of the Sun? According to Jonathon Gatehouse's The Instigator, the league office told him "hockey would never work in the desert," and that was pretty much that.

But now, three years and change after Colangelo had opened up his dazzling hoops palace, here was the commissioner of the NHL calling him, asking Jerry if he thought hockey could work in the desert. 

Things had changed a bit, you see. This was a new commissioner, Gary Bettman, and the league he oversaw was in the middle of a pretty rapid shift. There were now teams in Tampa, Miami, Dallas, and Anaheim, and another one that very nearly moved to Nashville but won the Stanley Cup instead. There was a national TV deal worth actual money with Fox, who was very interested in getting more American markets in the league. Coinciding with that, the Canadian dollar was in freefall, which had already contributed to the Quebec Nordiques crossing the border to Denver. And now, Gary had another Canadian problem on his hands. 

The Winnipeg Jets were in the process of being sold to Richard Burke and Steve Gluckstern, who planned to move them to Burke's home of Minnesota to replace the departed North Stars. But prospects for that move were falling apart. So, could Colangelo offer his steady hand and guide this franchise to Phoenix? After all, the landscape had changed.

Unfortunately, Colangelo's vision for the arena, now built, had also changed. Rejected by the pre-Bettman NHL, America West Arena had been built solely with basketball in mind, and to perfection. Yes, they could add ice-making facilities. Yes, they could, technically, get a 200-foot ice rink in it. But there would have to be some, uh, compromises. Approximately 5,287 of them. It would not be an ideal venue for top-tier pro hockey in an untested market, but in the short term, it could do. After all, the Ottawa Senators started off playing under the grandstand of a football stadium, and the Tampa Bay Lightning first played in a barn at the state fairgrounds before turning a failed baseball stadium into a surprisingly successful hockey rink. 

Sure, Colangelo could get on board, and bring Burke and Gluckstern and their 41 home games a year to his basketball arena, where the seats would hang over the ice on one end. Eventually, the team would need its own venue, but in the meantime, they could take a few years, build up a fanbase, and seek out a spot for a true home. For a little while, though, they could get by in less than ideal accommodations.

All of this is to say: It has always been this way for the Coyotes. It has been more than a quarter-century, and they have known no other form of existence.

Even the short term proved too much for the Coyotes' initial owners. By 1998, Colangelo had removed himself from the proceedings. So did Gluckstern, a New Yorker who sold his stake to buy in on a franchise closer to home that was having some, shall we say, federal prison problems. This left Burke holding the bag, and he was ready to offload to Microsoft billionaire Paul Allen, who was going to put the team in Portland with his Trail Blazers. But that would not happen, because Gary Bettman had decided hockey did, in fact, belong in the desert. The commissioner took a personal interest in the ownership search until he found someone willing to keep the team in town, even lobbying Wayne Gretzky to get on board when said owner needed partners and some star power to secure financing. Grand plans for an arena in Scottsdale (where the fans and money were) blew up, so they settled on an offer in Glendale (where nothing was,) and it's all been nonstop calliope music ever since.

With Glendale tired of the swindle they had gotten themselves into, the Coyotes and their new owner (who definitely has the money, trust him, there was just a mistake that one time, for 17 consecutive months,) are trying to get Tempe to buy in on the facility that will make desert hockey a raging success story, this time for sure. In the meantime, though, the team will happily play out the interim, at least three years but almost certainly longer than that, in a 5,000 seat college rink. Or, maybe a little less. For context here, the Oakland/California (Golden) Seals, the team that was probably the most rollicking embarrassment in the modern NHL, and is the last North American major pro sports franchise to outright fold, was good for about 5,000 on most nights. The Coyotes are willingly putting themselves in a situation where that is their ceiling, if everything breaks just right.

But that's not all, because with this franchise, it never is. Because ASU's facilities are being built to NCAA standards, the Coyotes are going to have to add on to bring them up to NHL standards, and do so all on their dime, about $20 million. Arizona State will be taking that as cash up front, because the news in Glendale travels to Tempe fairly easily, it turns out. (Again, Coyotes owner Alex Mereulo is definitely good for the money; he just, uh, has to go back out to his car for a second to go get a thing.) And when the Coyotes leave campus for their shiny new arena in Tempe (cough,) all of the facilities they built become university property. 

According to Craig Morgan, the revenue limitations don't stop at capacity, which again, could be less than one-sixth of the United Center. Arena naming rights? That's ASU's money. Ads on the boards, on screens, around the seating bowl and in the concourses? All ASU's money. Parking revenue? That's ASU's money, unless the Coyotes work to develop some sort of "premium" service where they could collect the additional charges. Perhaps the team could run a robust valet service and park all the cars in Glendale; I understand the parking lots there are vast and sparsely occupied. Did I mention that the target date for the arena getting up to NHL standards is December, meaning the Coyotes could start their season with two solid months on the road? Oh, and by the way, ASU has already booked most of the weekend dates either for their own teams or other events, so it'll be almost exclusively Monday-through-Thursday home games for the Yotes once they're actually allowed in the building.

Congratulations to this league of billionaire businessmen: You are getting yourselves clowned by America's Drunkest University.

So, why does this pursuit of NHL hockey in Arizona persist, even after decades of bad ideas, aborted plans, and stacks of cash set aflame? Well, this franchise has been Gary Bettman's special case since the get-go, so it could be argued that we're just watching 25 years of the sunk cost fallacy at work. But it's not exclusively Bettman; he does serve at the pleasure of the owners, after all, and he once convinced them to all chip in and buy the team out of bankruptcy. (For a little while, they could get by.) So it's worth considering what, at the very least Bettman is doing to convince his bosses this is an endeavor worth prolonging. The Coyotes' on-ice product is an open sewer; not a guaranteed win every time they come to town, but about as close as you can get in the current NHL. They are also the preferred dumping ground for unwanted contracts, happily taking on the back ends of front-loaded deals that will get them to the salary floor for dimes on the dollar. Who can forget the storied Coyotes years of Chris Pronger, Marian Hossa, and Pavel Datsyuk, for instance? And because the Coyotes have been drawing no one and will draw even fewer fans going forward, that's less "Hockey Related Revenue" for the league, which means less of a chance of the salary cap going up. I imagine it's an easy sell to the other 31 owners to each put in $700,000 for the Coyotes to play in a tiny college rink now, when you tell them it means $3 million less in salaries they'll have to pay out later.

As for the Coyotes' actual owner, there's good reason for him to stay in, besides whatever incentives and assistance he's getting from the league like all those who preceded him. Alex Mereulo is a casino guy, and now his hockey team has its most valuable asset in history: a license to operate a sports gambling operation in Arizona. That's easy money for a guy who seems suspiciously short on funds at times, and since it doesn't count as Hockey Related Revenue, it's all money that he will never have to put back into his players.

So far all the reasons the Arizona Coyotes simply should not be, there are also plenty of reasons they will continue to be. Tune back into this blog in ten years, when the Arizona Coyotes are playing weekday afternoon matinees at a rec rink in Prescott because they're booked at night for a puppet show.

08 May 2017

Dogs and cats, living together.

I realize that a significant portion of 2017 has felt like the darkest of possible rides through Opposite-Land, but I didn't think it would get to the point where I'd find myself agreeing with Gary Bettman and Jeremy Jacobs on something.

In case you missed it, the fire of indignation over the NHL declining to participate in the 2018 Winter Olympics got stoked again last week when Jacobs, the man who gets his cut from every food and beverage purchase you make at a game, and will stop at nothing if you disrupt his fancy-dancing horse lifestyle, said of the NHL's Olympic non-participation, “I think the four people that watch it don’t justify it.”

Obviously, this was an exaggeration by Jacobs. You can get four people to watch just about any hockey game at any level at any time, except maybe if the Carolina Hurricanes are playing at home. Regardless, the internet froth rose up anew among the many who are sore that they won't get to see elite professional international competition, and also see the backwards-ass NHL once again shooting itself in the foot rather than working to grow the sport and expand its fanbase.

The thing is, though, at least in this case, Jeremy Jacobs, the majority of NHL owners, and Gary Bettman and his front-office cronies, are right. Excuse me.

*dry-heaves into toilet for fifteen minutes*

I know a lot of people want the NHL in the Olympics. But wanting something and having it actually be a good idea are two different things; just ask me at 1:00am after a few drinks as I open up the eBay app on my phone. So let's go through this point-by-point, kinda.

This Olympics will not be live-TV friendly. Yes, I know, you're going to watch, because you're bonkers for hockey and the purity of the competition and the best in the world and pre-dawn day-drinking was a riot during Sochi and so on. Here's the problem, though: Russia, as you likely know, is quite large. And Sochi is basically along Russia's westernmost border, so there was a ten-hour time difference. PyeongChang, home of the 2018 Games, is five time zones east of Sochi. Which means:

Well, you're not going to the bar to watch it with friends, I guess. But hey, you can always DVR it or watch it on stream! Just make sure you don't unconsciously reach for your phone at any point before you finish watching the game, because you follow a lot of hockey people, and that result will be spoiled twenty times before you even start scrolling. Oh, and don't go to the front page of NBC's Olympics site en route to the archived game stream, because the result's going to be front-and-center there, too.

Beijing, host of the 2022 Games, is only one hour closer to North America than PyeongChang, by the way.

No, seriously, not that many people are going to watch it. The last few Winter Olympics have been very accessible for North American hockey viewers. Sochi in 2014 was on the fringes with the early morning starts, but Torino in 2006 was a couple hours closer, and both 2002 and 2010 were on the continent. Now, the first NHL Olympics, Nagano in 1998, sported the same time zone difference as PyeongChang. The viewership of said games was, uh, not so good:

For many viewers, CBS's coverage was a major turn-off. How else to explain far lower than expected overall ratings? With final numbers due today, they'll finish about three points below what advertisers had been guaranteed, 40 percent off from the '94 Games in Lillehammer and 13 percent behind Albertville in '92. 

. . .

Only H.G. Wells could have been proud of CBS's time-warping coverage, which often included staying away from live action in prime or late-night shows to air tape of major events 24 hours or more after they occurred. Why not show it live if at all possible, then air it again on tape the next night? Men's hockey, despite the U.S. team trashing and thrashing on and off the ice, produced several classic games, all on well past midnight in the East, then barely reprised the next night in prime time. 
I want to note a couple of things here. First, 1998 was nineteen years ago, and oh God, I can feel death's cold breath encroaching on the back of my neck. Second, back then, even a tape-delayed Olympics could be nearly spoiler-free. The internet had to be dialed into on a desktop PC, and even then, sports coverage was still the domain of outlets that had already been established in print, radio, or television. These outlets needed to play by the rules to maintain their access, and if those rules included an embargo on results by the broadcast rights holder, they would abide. And still, CBS didn't bother showing the full games on delay, either because watching the home team getting its nuts kicked in doesn't make for the best showcasing of national sporting pride, or because even if the U.S. had put half the effort into its games that it did into vandalizing hotel rooms, hockey wouldn't carry the ratings heft of figure skating or skiing, nor would it lure as attractive of an advertising demographic.

Compare that to now, and the free flow of information. How many casual sports fans are going to sit through a full tape-delayed hockey game when the result is a tap away? And again, how many diehards, who will definitely know the final score ahead of time, will do that? Think back to Sochi in 2014, when T.L. "T.J." Oshie single-handedly defeated Russia in a 126-round shootout on a North American Saturday morning, thereby asserting America's dominance as a superpower and ensuring the Russians would never exert any nefarious influence over our way of life. NBC replayed it in primetime. Not the whole game, just the shootout. And they packaged it with the result in full view, an "in case you heard about it and haven't seen it yet, or maybe want to see it again" type of presentation. It got the first half hour of programming, maybe, and then it was onto, presumably, figure skating. That's the presence overnight hockey will have in the prime viewing hours if something really, really interesting happens. Otherwise, it's going to be an intimate gathering of a couple hundred thousand making counterproductive caffeine consumption decisions.

Now, I am aware that when it comes to hockey, both the IIHF and IOC know where their bread is buttered. And with NBC throwing enough money at the Olympics nowadays to influence some scheduling decisions, we know that the USA and Canada will be put in the same pool to guarantee at least one game between the two, and those in charge of scheduling will maybe push the start of that game to something like 10:00pm PyeongChang time, so it airs at 8:00am Eastern, likely on a Saturday or Sunday. But still, what's the top end of viewership for that game? Let's go back to Sochi for comparison, when Team USA played Canada at Noon Eastern (9:00pm Sochi time) on a Friday, and that game set all kinds of ratings records. It was the highest rated hockey game ever! (on NBCSN) (which had only existed for two years at the time) It gave the network its best ratings in history! (in daytime) (on a weekday) (when they normally air reruns of fishing shows) (and the USA-Russia game on Saturday morning got more viewers) It was, uh, about the equivalent of any Stanley Cup Final game not involving the New Jersey Devils since 2008.

(Side note: My God, look at the numbers for that Anaheim-Ottawa series in 2007. It's a minor miracle this league still exists, and I wonder how many NBC Sports executives have cyanide capsules at the ready, given how this year is shaking out.)

So that's where this tops out: Give USA-Canada a pool game with a special timeslot, and hope Team USA somehow gets into the medal round, and you get up to two games' worth of Stanley Cup Final ratings. That's not four people, but it's not exactly something worth a three-week midseason dead spot and a cancellation of the lucrative All-Star weekend. Speaking of:

The league doesn't make any money off of it. This is the big one, right? The NHL's owners are being asked to give up their talent and schedule in the name of the purity and splendor of Olympic competition, and also to help subsidize the tiger blood lasagna some IOC executive will order for room service on a weekend jaunt to Davos. The league's leaders finally knocked their heads together enough to coordinate the World Cup and promise they'll keep doing it regularly this time, because making money is good, actually. And if the World Cup stabilizes and grows, to the point where there's eight national teams and maybe some play-in qualifiers, then who needs the Olympics? Let the Olympic tournament stand as an interesting U-23 competition, like it does in soccer. People who want to watch will still watch that. And Americans at large, possibly seeing a lineup of Good College Boys playing against a bunch of big-ruble KHLers from Russia, might find a compelling storyline worth cheering for. Meanwhile, the NHL can make its money on its own tournament without having to wait for those mythical secondary Olympic revenues to arrive, because...

The potential for growing the game internationally is greatly exaggerated. This is the main argument from the hockey punditry: "Oh, you gotta grow the game. Putting hockey's best on the world stage is the best way for you to grow the game." That untapped potential for growth comes out in musings like this one from TSN's Rick Westhead:

Boy, those sure are some large audiences! I encourage you to click on the graphic, though, which is a clipping from a promotional brochure that defines those millions and millions of foreign Winter Olympics viewers as "anyone who watched at least one minute of programming from Sochi." One minute. So, perhaps some follow-up questions are needed to gauge the true international growth potential for the NHL and hockey in general, like:
  • What were the TV ratings for Olympic hockey in countries like China, Brazil, and South Korea, that did not have teams participating in the tournament?
  • Did networks in these countries even include hockey in their Olympic telecasts?
  • Does the NHL have broadcast rights agreements in any of these countries?
  • If so, what kind of TV ratings does the NHL achieve in countries with little-to-no historical ice hockey fandom?
  • How many NHL-caliber arenas with functional ice plants are available in these countries?
  • In terms of both time and money, how much of an investment is needed to establish and/or develop youth hockey programs in these countries?
  • Should the NHL go all-in on China because they have one KHL team with attendance averaging in the hundreds that somehow has enough money to wave in front of Mike Keenan, because it's China, and you're better off not asking where the money's coming from?
  • Would the NHL play in the Olympics if all the games had a one-minute time limit?
You know where the NHL needs to Grow The Game? Here! It's not like hockey has conquered North America and is seeking out manifest destiny across the globe, having saturated the domestic market. It's still only the 4th-most-popular professional sports league in the U.S., and is seemingly a bigger threat to drop down to 5th behind soccer each and every year. Fix your own house before you go barging in on everyone else's. Learn how to run your business before you start franchising. We've had two decades of the NHL's attempt to Grow The Game via Olympic competition. It's still the same teams competing for medals every year. It's still a league with revenues driven more by paid attendance than broadcast rights deals. It's still a league that can basically have all its coverage from America's largest sports outlet given pink slips in the middle of the playoffs, and have that viewed as a sensible business decision. It's still a fringe league, a niche sport, and often, a punchline.

A few more go-rounds against Slovenia at 2 in the morning is not going to alter that to a significant degree.